Absolute CVD risk is the likelihood of a person experiencing a cardiovascular event such as heart attack or stroke within the next five years. The Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) items 699 and 177 specify that the Heart Health Check must include a calculation of your patient’s absolute CVD risk as per the Australian absolute CVD risk calculator.
The absolute CVD risk calculation is based on the Framingham Risk Equation (FRE), and uses the following risk factors:
gender
age
smoking status
diabetes status
systolic blood pressure
total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL) ratio
left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) if available.
Risk categories
Low risk corresponds to <10% probability of CVD within the next five years
Moderate risk corresponds to 10–15% probability of CVD within the next five years
High risk corresponds to >15% probability of CVD within the next five years
Adults with any of the following conditions are clinically determined to be at high risk:
* The Australian absolute CVD risk calculator does not allow calculations using an age of less than 35 years. For these ages it is recommended that an age of 35 is used for the purposes of the calculation. As the FRE underestimates the risk of CVD events in Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander Peoples aged less than 35 years, the use of a slightly older age is unlikely to significantly inflate CVD risk.
TIPS: For other considerations, including special populations and risk factors not included in the calculation, please refer to the Guidelines for the management of absolute cardiovascular disease risk (PDF).
The electronic CVD risk calculator is available online and in some general practice clinical information systems (CIS). Alternatively, you can manually do the calculation using the Australian cardiovascular risk charts. Your choice of calculator is a matter of personal preference and availability.
The most common risk calculators are:
Australian absolute CVD risk calculator (online)
Australian cardiovascular risk charts (manual process)
Absolute CVD risk calculators embedded in clinical software.
A useful online risk calculator resource is found at auscvdrisk.com.au. You'll find a patient risk calculator, which is a new interactive version of the Australian five-year CVD risk calculator to help guide discussion about management options and create patient decision aids.
TIPS: When using the online calculator, remember to record a CVD risk score in the patient's record.Â
TIPS: When using the online calculator, use the ‘Add a Comparison’ function to show the patient how modifying certain risk factors can improve the result e.g. stopping smoking or reducing blood pressure.
Watch the screen recording of instructions, below.
See screen recording of instructions below.
Guidelines for the management of absolute cardiovascular disease risk
MedicalDirector online help for cardiovascular risk calculator
Heart, diabetes and kidney risk calculator developed by healthdirect and The George Institute
Explore the list of pages in the Heart Health Check Toolkit for health professionals.
Supporting general practices to integrate Heart Health Checks into routine patient care, with a range of resources and easy-to-use tools in one place.
A full list of ready-to-use resources available in this Toolkit
Last updated15 March 2024